Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013 0.000014 0.000016
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030
2025-01-12 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000035
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000041
2025-01-26 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000050
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000033 0.000062
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000037 0.000073
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000041 0.000087
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000045 0.000102
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000048 0.000116
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000053 0.000136
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000059 0.000163
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000027 0.000065 0.000196
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000027 0.000068 0.000218
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000028 0.000073 0.000251
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000028 0.000077 0.000286
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000029 0.000085 0.000337
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000032 0.000098 0.000427
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000033 0.000106 0.000503
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000035 0.000117 0.000607
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000036 0.000128 0.000718